Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 326.014156 368.981025 416.530569 473.234868 539.248692 613.952779 705.281684
2025-11-02 257.320013 312.589768 379.104688 465.755870 576.689254 715.342926 903.960633
2025-11-09 227.635515 289.697720 368.668570 477.919423 627.346521 827.829455 1122.782731
2025-11-16 201.303237 265.648774 351.192057 475.357554 654.560462 909.523172 1310.338160
2025-11-23 180.056245 244.876453 334.265941 469.403092 673.660203 979.542843 1489.614978
2025-11-30 165.361231 231.039451 324.650325 471.516080 703.166242 1067.105726 1709.034826
2025-12-07 150.403913 215.012787 309.731547 463.168640 714.355725 1126.071496 1889.821877
2025-12-14 139.098879 203.121663 299.477759 460.335766 733.141861 1198.878516 2106.383252
2025-12-21 126.038763 187.304927 281.539538 442.860501 724.722876 1222.908539 2235.747087
2025-12-28 121.603523 184.417108 283.504831 458.203941 774.380896 1356.873603 2603.632273
2026-01-04 118.075892 182.583040 286.848773 476.010373 830.389996 1510.674860 3044.177785
2026-01-11 111.969705 175.990387 281.614199 477.952709 856.828010 1610.521786 3388.659683
2026-01-18 103.919033 165.710894 269.529673 466.747278 857.597129 1660.707289 3636.545939
2026-01-25 97.228873 157.260042 259.948999 459.272778 864.975810 1726.330740 3938.289091
2026-02-01 94.152669 154.771669 260.621091 471.251064 913.464020 1889.084199 4525.576682
2026-02-08 89.254278 148.692535 254.261687 468.729513 930.872937 1984.207348 4958.308537
2026-02-15 84.339932 142.226401 246.651375 462.872755 940.158984 2061.598065 5362.052555
2026-02-22 80.865648 138.122313 243.117860 464.951144 967.377932 2187.166312 5943.028387
2026-03-01 76.409427 131.903943 235.066497 456.740137 969.803529 2250.554201 6350.475553
2026-03-08 72.936962 127.299331 229.797240 453.953466 984.683840 2349.061870 6902.061407
2026-03-15 68.114643 119.845086 218.401742 436.762102 962.576413 2344.402647 7102.977453
2026-03-22 67.106130 119.634887 221.433148 451.856377 1022.450760 2578.069556 8227.481319
2026-03-29 66.356725 119.867947 225.361151 469.371809 1091.070664 2851.334620 9609.119181